UEFA Champions League·2nd Qualifying Round
Lech PoznanvAarhus
Lech Poznan
AarhusWednesday, July 29 at 11:00 CDMX
Members only
The model read for this match is members-only
Win probabilities, the best bet, expected value, the scoreline matrix and corners/cards projections are part of membership. The raw form, head-to-head and live sportsbook prices below stay free.
Full membership unlocks every pick, the expected value and the live in-play model.
Sportsbook board
7 books
Lech Poznan
1.70
best 1.73 · Bet365
Draw
3.70
best 3.84 · 1xBet
Aarhus
4.33
best 4.73 · 1xBet
Over 2.5
1.73
best 1.74 · 1xBet
Under 2.5
2.08
best 2.11 · SBO
Hold
8.9%
spread -0.75
| Sportsbook | Lech Poznan | Draw | Aarhus | O 2.5 | U 2.5 | Spread |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle | 1.71 | 3.73 | 4.42 | 1.71 | 2.09 | -0.75 @ 1.92 |
| 1xBet | 1.72 | 3.84 | 4.73 |
Line movement over time
Odds movement
Form and betting splits
last 12
Lech Poznan
WDWDW
Aarhus
WWWDD
2.33Points / game1.75
8Wins5
4Draws6
0Losses1
2.17Goals / game1.58
0.92Conceded / game0.92
2.11xG created / game1.57
1.06xG allowed / game1.14
67%Both teams score75%
92%Over 0.5 goals83%
75%Over 1.5 goals83%
67%Over 2.5 goals42%
50%Over 3.5 goals8%
33%Clean sheets25%
67%Team total over 1.542%
17%Conceded over 1.517%
18.5Shots / game14.3
6.3Shots on target / game5.7
10.2Fouls / game12.0
1.6Offsides / game1.3
5.7Corners for / game4.5
4.3Corners against / game3.9
50%Over 9.5 corners33%
1.4Cards / game1.3
Head to head
1 meeting
1 Lech Poznan · 0 draws · 0 Aarhus · 5.0 goals/game
1 meeting
Jul 2026Aarhus 1-4 Lech PoznanUEFA Champions League
Availability
Lech Poznan
No confirmed absences in the feed. National-team injury data is limited, so check official team news before betting.
Aarhus
No confirmed absences in the feed. National-team injury data is limited, so check official team news before betting.