World Cup 2026·Round of 32
BrazilvJapan
Brazil
JapanMonday, June 29 at 11:00 CDMX · NRG Stadium, Houston · retractable roof
Members only
The model read for this match is members-only
Win probabilities, the best bet, expected value, the scoreline matrix and corners/cards projections are part of membership. The raw form, head-to-head and live sportsbook prices below stay free.
Full membership unlocks every pick, the expected value and the live in-play model.
Form and betting splits
last 12
Brazil
LWWWD
Japan
LDWDW
1.92Points / game2.00
7Wins7
2Draws3
3Losses2
2.25Goals / game1.75
1.17Conceded / game0.92
2.40xG created / game1.06
0.80xG allowed / game0.89
75%Both teams score42%
100%Over 0.5 goals100%
100%Over 1.5 goals75%
75%Over 2.5 goals50%
25%Over 3.5 goals33%
25%Clean sheets50%
67%Team total over 1.550%
33%Conceded over 1.542%
15.0Shots / game11.3
6.1Shots on target / game4.8
11.1Fouls / game13.9
1.8Offsides / game1.3
4.7Corners for / game4.1
3.3Corners against / game4.0
25%Over 9.5 corners25%
1.4Cards / game1.2
#1League position#2
Head to head
5 meetings
4 Brazil · 0 draws · 1 Japan · 3.2 goals/game
5 meetings
Jun 2026Brazil 2-1 JapanWorld Cup
Oct 2025Japan 3-2 BrazilFriendlies
Jun 2022Japan 0-1 BrazilFriendlies
Nov 2017Japan 1-3 BrazilFriendlies
Jun 2013Brazil 3-0 JapanConfederations Cup
Availability
Brazil
- RaphinhaHamstring Muscle Injury
- Lucas PaquetáHamstring Muscle Injury
Japan
No confirmed absences in the feed. National-team injury data is limited, so check official team news before betting.