World Cup 2026·Semi-finals
FrancevSpain
France
SpainTuesday, July 14 at 13:00 CDMX · AT&T Stadium, Arlington · retractable roof
Members only
The model read for this match is members-only
Win probabilities, the best bet, expected value, the scoreline matrix and corners/cards projections are part of membership. The raw form, head-to-head and live sportsbook prices below stay free.
Full membership unlocks every pick, the expected value and the live in-play model.
Sportsbook board
7 books
France
2.54
best 2.61 · Pinnacle
Draw
3.06
best 3.20 · William Hill
Spain
3.10
best 3.24 · 1xBet
Over 2.5
1.90
best 1.92 · Pinnacle
Under 2.5
2.00
best 2.02 · 1xBet
Hold
4.3%
spread -0.25
| Sportsbook | France | Draw | Spain | O 2.5 | U 2.5 | Spread |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle | 2.61 | 3.06 | 3.17 | 1.92 | 1.99 | 0 @ 1.76 |
| 1xBet | 2.57 | 3.14 |
Live prices across 7 books. Line movement is being collected from this feed and will chart here as snapshots accumulate.
Form and betting splits
last 12
France
WWWWW
Spain
WWWWD
2.75Points / game2.33
11Wins8
0Draws4
1Losses0
2.67Goals / game2.17
0.67Conceded / game0.33
2.61xG created / game2.48
0.50xG allowed / game0.41
58%Both teams score25%
100%Over 0.5 goals83%
92%Over 1.5 goals67%
83%Over 2.5 goals58%
50%Over 3.5 goals42%
42%Clean sheets75%
83%Team total over 1.558%
8%Conceded over 1.58%
17.9Shots / game18.4
6.7Shots on target / game6.6
10.0Fouls / game9.5
1.7Offsides / game2.2
6.3Corners for / game7.4
3.0Corners against / game1.8
50%Over 9.5 corners50%
1.0Cards / game0.6
#1League position#1
Head to head
5 meetings
1 France · 0 draws · 4 Spain · 3.8 goals/game
5 meetings
Jun 2025Spain 5-4 FranceUEFA Nations League
Jul 2024Spain 2-1 FranceEuro Championship
Oct 2021Spain 1-2 FranceUEFA Nations League
Mar 2017France 0-2 SpainFriendlies
Jun 2012Spain 2-0 FranceEuro Championship
Availability
France
No confirmed absences in the feed. National-team injury data is limited, so check official team news before betting.
Spain
No confirmed absences in the feed. National-team injury data is limited, so check official team news before betting.